Despite an already strong run, ChromaDex Corporation (NASDAQ:CDXC) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 47% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 52%.
Although its price has surged higher, ChromaDex's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Life Sciences industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.9x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does ChromaDex's Recent Performance Look Like?
With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, ChromaDex has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the industry, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think ChromaDex's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
ChromaDex's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 41% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.5% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that ChromaDex's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Final Word
Despite ChromaDex's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
To us, it seems ChromaDex currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for ChromaDex with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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