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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002646)?

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 15 19:59

With its stock down 16% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit (SZSE:002646). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. In this article, we decided to focus on Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit is:

2.8% = CN¥78m ÷ CN¥2.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's Earnings Growth And 2.8% ROE

As you can see, Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 13%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. In spite of this, Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit was able to grow its net income considerably, at a rate of 26% in the last five years. Therefore, there could be other reasons behind this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

We then compared Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 16% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002646 Past Earnings Growth March 15th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit has a three-year median payout ratio of 35% (where it is retaining 65% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. So it seems that Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit is reinvesting efficiently in a way that it sees impressive growth in its earnings (discussed above) and pays a dividend that's well covered.

Additionally, Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 45% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit is speculated to rise to 6.3% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Qinghai Huzhu TianYouDe Highland Barley Spirit certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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