G & M Holdings Limited (HKG:6038) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 47% in the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, G & M Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 4.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 9x and even P/E's above 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Earnings have risen firmly for G & M Holdings recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
How Is G & M Holdings' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, G & M Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 91% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 22% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's peculiar that G & M Holdings' P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On G & M Holdings' P/E
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift G & M Holdings' P/E close to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of G & M Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look similar to current market expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the company's performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware G & M Holdings is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on G & M Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.