share_log

Is BGI Genomics (SZSE:300676) A Risky Investment?

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 14 18:14

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300676) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does BGI Genomics Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, BGI Genomics had CN¥292.7m of debt, up from none a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥5.55b in cash, leading to a CN¥5.25b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300676 Debt to Equity History March 14th 2024

How Strong Is BGI Genomics' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, BGI Genomics had liabilities of CN¥3.04b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥333.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.55b and CN¥1.63b worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥3.81b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that BGI Genomics is taking a careful approach to debt. Given it has easily adequate short term liquidity, we don't think it will have any issues with its lenders. Succinctly put, BGI Genomics boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

It is just as well that BGI Genomics's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 81% over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is BGI Genomics's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. BGI Genomics may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Considering the last three years, BGI Genomics actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that BGI Genomics has net cash of CN¥5.25b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So we are not troubled with BGI Genomics's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that BGI Genomics is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are concerning...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment