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Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Tuniu Corporation's (NASDAQ:TOUR) Revenues Despite 35% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 14 07:32

Tuniu Corporation (NASDAQ:TOUR) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 35% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the last month did very little to improve the 60% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Tuniu's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Hospitality industry is similar at about 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

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NasdaqGM:TOUR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024

How Tuniu Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Tuniu as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Tuniu.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Tuniu's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 140%. Still, revenue has fallen 2.0% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 38% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 13% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Tuniu's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Tuniu's P/S

Tuniu's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Looking at Tuniu's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Tuniu with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tuniu, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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