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Don't Race Out To Buy UMP Healthcare Holdings Limited (HKG:722) Just Because It's Going Ex-Dividend

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 13 18:12

UMP Healthcare Holdings Limited (HKG:722) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in four days. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important because any transaction on a stock needs to have been settled before the record date in order to be eligible for a dividend. This means that investors who purchase UMP Healthcare Holdings' shares on or after the 18th of March will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 19th of April.

The company's next dividend payment will be HK$0.013 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed HK$0.043 to shareholders. Calculating the last year's worth of payments shows that UMP Healthcare Holdings has a trailing yield of 8.7% on the current share price of HK$0.495. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. So we need to investigate whether UMP Healthcare Holdings can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. UMP Healthcare Holdings paid out 102% of its earnings, which is more than we're comfortable with, unless there are mitigating circumstances. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It distributed 29% of its free cash flow as dividends, a comfortable payout level for most companies.

It's disappointing to see that the dividend was not covered by profits, but cash is more important from a dividend sustainability perspective, and UMP Healthcare Holdings fortunately did generate enough cash to fund its dividend. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Very few companies are able to sustainably pay dividends larger than their reported earnings.

Click here to see how much of its profit UMP Healthcare Holdings paid out over the last 12 months.

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SEHK:722 Historic Dividend March 13th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. So we're not too excited that UMP Healthcare Holdings's earnings are down 3.6% a year over the past five years.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. UMP Healthcare Holdings has delivered an average of 12% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past seven years of dividend payments. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. UMP Healthcare Holdings is already paying out 102% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.

To Sum It Up

Has UMP Healthcare Holdings got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 102% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in UMP Healthcare Holdings's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. With the way things are shaping up from a dividend perspective, we'd be inclined to steer clear of UMP Healthcare Holdings.

With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of UMP Healthcare Holdings don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for UMP Healthcare Holdings you should know about.

A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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