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While Shareholders of DHT Holdings (NYSE:DHT) Are in the Black Over 5 Years, Those Who Bought a Week Ago Aren't so Fortunate

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 13 06:24

When you buy a stock there is always a possibility that it could drop 100%. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. Long term DHT Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:DHT) shareholders would be well aware of this, since the stock is up 136% in five years. On top of that, the share price is up 13% in about a quarter. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 9.4% in the last three months.

Although DHT Holdings has shed US$63m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During the last half decade, DHT Holdings became profitable. Sometimes, the start of profitability is a major inflection point that can signal fast earnings growth to come, which in turn justifies very strong share price gains.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
NYSE:DHT Earnings Per Share Growth March 13th 2024

We know that DHT Holdings has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think DHT Holdings will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, DHT Holdings' TSR for the last 5 years was 262%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

DHT Holdings provided a TSR of 4.4% over the last twelve months. But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 29% a year, over half a decade) look better. It may well be that this is a business worth popping on the watching, given the continuing positive reception, over time, from the market. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with DHT Holdings .

We will like DHT Holdings better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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