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As Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery (SZSE:002304) Rises 5.6% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's One-year Earnings Growth

As Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery (SZSE:002304) Rises 5.6% This Past Week, Investors May Now Be Noticing the Company's One-year Earnings Growth

隨着江蘇洋河啤酒(SZSE:002304)上週上漲5.6%,投資者現在可能會注意到該公司一年的收益增長
Simply Wall St ·  03/12 20:34

The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. That downside risk was realized by Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery Joint-Stock Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002304) shareholders over the last year, as the share price declined 36%. That's well below the market decline of 13%. Even if you look out three years, the returns are still disappointing, with the share price down35% in that time.

從市場上漲中獲益的最簡單方法是購買指數基金。儘管個股可以成爲大贏家,但更多股票無法產生令人滿意的回報。去年,由於股價下跌了36%,江蘇洋河啤酒股份有限公司(SZSE:002304)的股東意識到了這種下行風險。這遠低於13%的市場跌幅。即使展望三年,回報仍然令人失望,當時股價下跌了35%。

Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last year, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.

儘管過去一週令股東更加放心,但與去年相比,他們仍處於虧損狀態,所以讓我們看看基礎業務是否是造成下降的原因。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

引用巴菲特的話說:“船隻將在世界各地航行,但Flat Earth Society將蓬勃發展。市場上的價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大差異...”考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

During the unfortunate twelve months during which the Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery share price fell, it actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 12%. It could be that the share price was previously over-hyped.

在江蘇洋河啤酒股價下跌的不幸十二個月中,其每股收益(EPS)實際上增長了12%。可能是股價此前被過度炒作。

It's surprising to see the share price fall so much, despite the improved EPS. But we might find some different metrics explain the share price movements better.

儘管每股收益有所改善,但股價仍大幅下跌令人驚訝。但是我們可能會發現一些不同的指標可以更好地解釋股價走勢。

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's revenue is actually up 13% over the last year. Since the fundamental metrics don't readily explain the share price drop, there might be an opportunity if the market has overreacted.

江蘇洋河啤酒的收入實際上比去年增長了13%。由於基本面指標不容易解釋股價下跌,因此如果市場反應過度,可能會有機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下圖顯示了收入和收入隨時間推移的跟蹤情況(如果您點擊圖片,可以看到更多細節)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002304 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 13th 2024
SZSE: 002304 收益和收入增長 2024 年 3 月 13 日

Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

江蘇洋河啤酒爲投資者所熟知,許多聰明的分析師都試圖預測未來的利潤水平。因此,看看分析師認爲江蘇洋河啤酒未來的收入很有意義(免費的分析師共識估計)

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

While the broader market lost about 13% in the twelve months, Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery shareholders did even worse, losing 34% (even including dividends). Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 0.3% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Jiangsu Yanghe Brewery's dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

儘管整個市場在十二個月中下跌了約13%,但江蘇洋河啤酒的股東表現更糟,損失了34%(甚至包括股息)。話雖如此,在下跌的市場中,一些股票不可避免地會被超賣。關鍵是要密切關注基本發展。好的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,在過去的五年中,每年增長0.3%。最近的拋售可能是一個機會,因此可能值得查看基本面數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象。考慮到這一點,下一步可能是看看江蘇洋河啤酒的分紅記錄。這個免費的交互式圖表是一個很好的起點。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果你想看看另一家公司——一家財務狀況可能優異的公司——那麼千萬不要錯過這份已經證明自己可以增加收益的公司的免費名單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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