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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600199) 28% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 12 18:18

Anhui Golden Seed Winery Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600199) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 38% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Anhui Golden Seed Winery is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Beverage industry have P/S ratios below 5.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600199 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2024

How Anhui Golden Seed Winery Has Been Performing

Anhui Golden Seed Winery's revenue growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to improve, justifying the currently elevated P/S. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Anhui Golden Seed Winery will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Anhui Golden Seed Winery's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 63% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 37% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 18%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Anhui Golden Seed Winery is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Anhui Golden Seed Winery's P/S?

Anhui Golden Seed Winery shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look into Anhui Golden Seed Winery shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Anhui Golden Seed Winery with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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