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Institutional Investors May Overlook Potbelly Corporation's (NASDAQ:PBPB) Recent US$65m Market Cap Drop as Long-term Gains Remain Positive

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 12 10:04

Key Insights

  • Given the large stake in the stock by institutions, Potbelly's stock price might be vulnerable to their trading decisions
  • A total of 9 investors have a majority stake in the company with 50% ownership
  • 14% of Potbelly is held by insiders

If you want to know who really controls Potbelly Corporation (NASDAQ:PBPB), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. With 58% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Institutional investors endured the highest losses after the company's market cap fell by US$65m last week. Still, the 42% one-year gains may have helped mitigate their overall losses. We would assume however, that they would be on the lookout for weakness in the future.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Potbelly.

ownership-breakdown
NasdaqGS:PBPB Ownership Breakdown March 12th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Potbelly?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Potbelly. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Potbelly's earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:PBPB Earnings and Revenue Growth March 12th 2024

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. Our data indicates that hedge funds own 15% of Potbelly. That worth noting, since hedge funds are often quite active investors, who may try to influence management. Many want to see value creation (and a higher share price) in the short term or medium term. The company's largest shareholder is Nierenberg Investment Management Company, Inc., with ownership of 9.6%. 180 Degree Capital Corp. is the second largest shareholder owning 6.9% of common stock, and BlackRock, Inc. holds about 6.2% of the company stock. Furthermore, CEO Robert Wright is the owner of 2.3% of the company's shares.

We did some more digging and found that 9 of the top shareholders account for roughly 50% of the register, implying that along with larger shareholders, there are a few smaller shareholders, thereby balancing out each others interests somewhat.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Potbelly

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. The company management answer to the board and the latter should represent the interests of shareholders. Notably, sometimes top-level managers are on the board themselves.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that insiders maintain a significant holding in Potbelly Corporation. It has a market capitalization of just US$348m, and insiders have US$48m worth of shares in their own names. This may suggest that the founders still own a lot of shares. You can click here to see if they have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 13% stake in Potbelly. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Potbelly better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Potbelly .

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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