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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Zijin Mining Group Company Limited's (HKG:2899) 27% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 11 18:21

Zijin Mining Group Company Limited (HKG:2899) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 16% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, Zijin Mining Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.1x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Zijin Mining Group as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2899 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 11th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Zijin Mining Group.

How Is Zijin Mining Group's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Zijin Mining Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 6.2%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 219% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 26% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 15% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Zijin Mining Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Zijin Mining Group's P/E?

Shares in Zijin Mining Group have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Zijin Mining Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Zijin Mining Group that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zijin Mining Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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