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Even With A 31% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Changgao Electric Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002452) Performance Completely

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 11 18:28

Those holding Changgao Electric Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002452) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 3.7% isn't as impressive.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Changgao Electric Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 30x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Changgao Electric Group has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002452 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 11th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Changgao Electric Group.

How Is Changgao Electric Group's Growth Trending?

Changgao Electric Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.0%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 46% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 116% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 41%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Changgao Electric Group's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Changgao Electric Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Changgao Electric Group currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Changgao Electric Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Changgao Electric Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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