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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About China New Consumption Group Limited's (HKG:8275) 25% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 11 18:12

China New Consumption Group Limited (HKG:8275) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 11% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think China New Consumption Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry is similar at about 0.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8275 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 11th 2024

How China New Consumption Group Has Been Performing

China New Consumption Group has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from rising. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for China New Consumption Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For China New Consumption Group?

China New Consumption Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.0% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 42% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's clear to see why China New Consumption Group's P/S matches up closely to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on assuming the company will continue keeping a low profile.

What We Can Learn From China New Consumption Group's P/S?

Following China New Consumption Group's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

It appears to us that China New Consumption Group maintains its moderate P/S off the back of its recent three-year growth being in line with the wider industry forecast. Currently, with a past revenue trend that aligns closely wit the industry outlook, shareholders are confident the company's future revenue outlook won't contain any major surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware China New Consumption Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are potentially serious.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China New Consumption Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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