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After Leaping 26% Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:SWBI) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 10 10:17

Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. (NASDAQ:SWBI) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 58%.

Following the firm bounce in price, Smith & Wesson Brands' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Smith & Wesson Brands has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SWBI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 10th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Smith & Wesson Brands.

Is There Enough Growth For Smith & Wesson Brands?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Smith & Wesson Brands' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 56%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 82% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 82% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Smith & Wesson Brands is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Final Word

Smith & Wesson Brands' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Smith & Wesson Brands maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Smith & Wesson Brands that you need to take into consideration.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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