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Nanjing Business & Tourism Corp.,Ltd. (SHSE:600250) Stock Rockets 35% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 8 17:36

Nanjing Business & Tourism Corp.,Ltd. (SHSE:600250) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 35% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 42% in the last year.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Retail Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.6x, you may consider Nanjing Business & TourismLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 3.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600250 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does Nanjing Business & TourismLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Nanjing Business & TourismLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Nanjing Business & TourismLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Nanjing Business & TourismLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Nanjing Business & TourismLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 18% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 18% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Nanjing Business & TourismLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Nanjing Business & TourismLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Nanjing Business & TourismLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Nanjing Business & TourismLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Nanjing Business & TourismLtd (2 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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