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Changzhou Fusion New Material Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688503) Shares Leap 42% Yet They're Still Not Telling The Full Story

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 8 17:20

Changzhou Fusion New Material Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688503) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 42% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 32% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Changzhou Fusion New Material's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.4x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 55x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Recent times haven't been advantageous for Changzhou Fusion New Material as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688503 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Changzhou Fusion New Material's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Changzhou Fusion New Material would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 14%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 134% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 58% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Changzhou Fusion New Material is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Despite Changzhou Fusion New Material's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Changzhou Fusion New Material currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Changzhou Fusion New Material that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Changzhou Fusion New Material. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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