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Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002856) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 8 17:02

Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002856) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 29% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering's P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Construction industry in China is also close to 1.1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002856 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

How Has Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.5%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 7.9% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 26% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering (including 1 which is significant).

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Magic Design & Decoration Engineering's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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