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Aadi Bioscience, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AADI) Shares Bounce 27% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 8 06:54

Those holding Aadi Bioscience, Inc. (NASDAQ:AADI) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 70% share price decline over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, Aadi Bioscience may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 15.6x and even P/S higher than 75x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:AADI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

How Aadi Bioscience Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Aadi Bioscience has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Aadi Bioscience.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Aadi Bioscience?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Aadi Bioscience's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 112%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 59% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 48% per year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 272% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Aadi Bioscience's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Aadi Bioscience's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Aadi Bioscience have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Aadi Bioscience's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Aadi Bioscience (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of Aadi Bioscience's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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