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Should Weakness in Hualan Biological Vaccine Inc.'s (SZSE:301207) Stock Be Seen As A Sign That Market Will Correct The Share Price Given Decent Financials?

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 7 18:14

Hualan Biological Vaccine (SZSE:301207) has had a rough three months with its share price down 23%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Hualan Biological Vaccine's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hualan Biological Vaccine is:

11% = CN¥645m ÷ CN¥6.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.11.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of Hualan Biological Vaccine's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

When you first look at it, Hualan Biological Vaccine's ROE doesn't look that attractive. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.4% which we definitely can't overlook. Still, Hualan Biological Vaccine's net income growth of 2.7% over the past five years was mediocre at best. Remember, the company's ROE is quite low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the low earnings growth.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Hualan Biological Vaccine's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 7.9% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301207 Past Earnings Growth March 7th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 301207 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Hualan Biological Vaccine Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

A low three-year median payout ratio of 16% (implying that the company retains the remaining 84% of its income) suggests that Hualan Biological Vaccine is retaining most of its profits. However, the low earnings growth number doesn't reflect this fact. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Only recently, Hualan Biological Vaccine started paying a dividend. This means that the management might have concluded that its shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Hualan Biological Vaccine has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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