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Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Triumph New Energy Company Limited (HKG:1108) Even After 30% Share Price Boost

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 19:22

The Triumph New Energy Company Limited (HKG:1108) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 36% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Triumph New Energy's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in Hong Kong is similar at about 9x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for Triumph New Energy as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings will be less resilient moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1108 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Triumph New Energy.

Is There Some Growth For Triumph New Energy?

Triumph New Energy's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 80%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 203% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 40% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 23%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Triumph New Energy is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It may be that most investors aren't convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Triumph New Energy's P/E is also back up to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Triumph New Energy currently trades on a lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Triumph New Energy that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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