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The Market Lifts Lucky Harvest Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002965) Shares 39% But It Can Do More

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 17:18

Those holding Lucky Harvest Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002965) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 39% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 35% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Lucky Harvest may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.4x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 55x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Lucky Harvest has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002965 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lucky Harvest.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Lucky Harvest would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 76% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 97% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 72% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 41% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it odd that Lucky Harvest is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Lucky Harvest's P/E

Despite Lucky Harvest's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Lucky Harvest currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Lucky Harvest (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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