What You Can Learn From Rekor Systems, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:REKR) P/SAfter Its 25% Share Price Crash

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 06:37

Rekor Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:REKR) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 32% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, Rekor Systems may still be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.5x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.3x and even P/S lower than 1.7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

NasdaqCM:REKR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Rekor Systems' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Rekor Systems as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Rekor Systems' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Rekor Systems' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 118%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 284% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 99% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Rekor Systems' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price drop, Rekor Systems' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Rekor Systems' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Rekor Systems (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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