Chengdu Jiafaantai Education Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300559) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 9.5% isn't as impressive.
After such a large jump in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 30x, you may consider Chengdu Jiafaantai Education TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 54.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
Chengdu Jiafaantai Education TechnologyLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Chengdu Jiafaantai Education TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 56% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 116% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Chengdu Jiafaantai Education TechnologyLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Shares in Chengdu Jiafaantai Education TechnologyLtd have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Chengdu Jiafaantai Education TechnologyLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Chengdu Jiafaantai Education TechnologyLtd, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Chengdu Jiafaantai Education TechnologyLtd. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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