There Is A Reason Hello Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MOMO) Price Is Undemanding

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 5 07:08

Hello Group Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MOMO) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Interactive Media and Services industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 1.8x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

NasdaqGS:MOMO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 5th 2024

How Has Hello Group Performed Recently?

Hello Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hello Group.

How Is Hello Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hello Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.2% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 23% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 2.8% during the coming year according to the eleven analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 14% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this information, we are not surprised that Hello Group is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Hello Group's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

Having said that, be aware Hello Group is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Hello Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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