share_log

Is Guangdong Homa Group (SZSE:002668) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Guangdong Homa Group (SZSE:002668) Using Too Much Debt?

廣東豪馬集團(深圳證券交易所:002668)的債務是否過多?
Simply Wall St ·  03/04 19:33

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Guangdong Homa Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002668) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

傳奇基金經理李露(由查理·芒格支持)曾經說過:“最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。”當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。重要的是,廣東豪馬集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002668)確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法還清貸款人的債務,那麼債務就任其擺佈。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法向債權人付款,它可能會破產。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

How Much Debt Does Guangdong Homa Group Carry?

廣東豪馬集團揹負了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Guangdong Homa Group had CN¥300.8m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥2.08b, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥3.53b in cash, so it actually has CN¥3.22b net cash.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示廣東豪馬集團在2023年9月的債務爲3.008億元人民幣,低於一年前的20.8億元人民幣。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有35.3億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有32.2億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002668 Debt to Equity History March 5th 2024
SZSE: 002668 2024 年 3 月 5 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Strong Is Guangdong Homa Group's Balance Sheet?

廣東豪馬集團的資產負債表有多強勁?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangdong Homa Group had liabilities of CN¥5.68b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥263.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥3.53b in cash and CN¥2.13b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥288.7m.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,廣東豪馬集團的負債爲56.8億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲2.632億元人民幣。與此相抵消的是,它有35.3億加元的現金和21.3億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額2.887億元人民幣。

Of course, Guangdong Homa Group has a market capitalization of CN¥7.70b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Guangdong Homa Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

當然,廣東豪馬集團的市值爲770億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。儘管確實有值得注意的負債,但廣東豪馬集團的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。

Better yet, Guangdong Homa Group grew its EBIT by 146% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangdong Homa Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

更好的是,廣東豪馬集團去年的息稅前利潤增長了146%,這是一個令人印象深刻的改善。這種提振將使未來償還債務變得更加容易。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益比什麼都重要,將決定廣東豪馬集團未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Guangdong Homa Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last two years, Guangdong Homa Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 82% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

最後,公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,不能用會計利潤償還債務。廣東豪馬集團的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去兩年中,廣東豪馬集團產生的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的82%,超出了我們的預期。如果需要的話,這有利於償還債務。

Summing Up

總結

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Guangdong Homa Group has CN¥3.22b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥1.6b, being 82% of its EBIT. So is Guangdong Homa Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Guangdong Homa Group, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

儘管查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但令人欣慰的是,廣東豪馬集團擁有32.2億元人民幣的淨現金。它以16億元人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻的印象,佔其息稅前利潤的82%。那麼廣東豪馬集團的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。隨着時間的推移,股價往往會跟隨每股收益,因此,如果你對廣東豪馬集團感興趣,你很可能想點擊這裏查看其每股收益歷史的互動圖表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,通常最好將注意力集中在沒有淨負債的公司身上。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長記錄)。它是免費的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論