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Is Anhui Expressway Company Limited's (HKG:995) Latest Stock Performance A Reflection Of Its Financial Health?

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 4 17:40

Anhui Expressway's (HKG:995) stock is up by a considerable 17% over the past three months. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Anhui Expressway's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Anhui Expressway is:

12% = CN¥1.7b ÷ CN¥14b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every HK$1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn HK$0.12 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Anhui Expressway's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

To start with, Anhui Expressway's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 7.3% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. This probably laid the ground for Anhui Expressway's moderate 11% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Anhui Expressway's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 8.4% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:995 Past Earnings Growth March 4th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 995 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Anhui Expressway Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

The high three-year median payout ratio of 56% (or a retention ratio of 44%) for Anhui Expressway suggests that the company's growth wasn't really hampered despite it returning most of its income to its shareholders.

Moreover, Anhui Expressway is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Anhui Expressway's performance has been quite good. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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