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Hillenbrand, Inc.'s (NYSE:HI) Popularity With Investors Is Clear

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 3 08:40

When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Hillenbrand, Inc. (NYSE:HI) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 33.3x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Hillenbrand has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:HI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 3rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hillenbrand.

Is There Enough Growth For Hillenbrand?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hillenbrand would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 10%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 453% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 34% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Hillenbrand is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Hillenbrand's P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Hillenbrand maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Hillenbrand (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hillenbrand, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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