share_log

Investors Appear Satisfied With Confluent, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CFLT) Prospects As Shares Rocket 42%

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 3 07:15

The Confluent, Inc. (NASDAQ:CFLT) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 42%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 33% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Confluent may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios under 4.4x and even P/S lower than 1.8x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:CFLT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 3rd 2024

How Confluent Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Confluent has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Confluent.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Confluent?

Confluent's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 33%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 228% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 24% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 15% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Confluent is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Confluent's P/S

Shares in Confluent have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Confluent's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Confluent that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment