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Sweetgreen, Inc. (NYSE:SG) Looks Just Right With A 53% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 2 09:48

Despite an already strong run, Sweetgreen, Inc. (NYSE:SG) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 53% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 91% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Sweetgreen is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.2x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have P/S ratios below 1.3x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:SG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024

How Has Sweetgreen Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Sweetgreen has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Sweetgreen's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sweetgreen would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 165% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 15% per year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Sweetgreen is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Sweetgreen's P/S

The large bounce in Sweetgreen's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Sweetgreen's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sweetgreen that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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