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Subdued Growth No Barrier To Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai), Ltd. (SZSE:300620) With Shares Advancing 34%

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 1 17:40

Those holding Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai), Ltd. (SZSE:300620) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 34% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 61%.

Following the firm bounce in price, Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 16.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Communications industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.3x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300620 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

How Has Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) Performed Recently?

Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai).

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 47% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 33% during the coming year according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 50% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's alarming that Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s P/S Mean For Investors?

Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai)'s P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It comes as a surprise to see Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Advanced Fiber Resources (Zhuhai) (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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