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MeiG Smart Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002881) Soars 30% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 1 17:27

Those holding MeiG Smart Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:002881) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, MeiG Smart Technology may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Communications industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 4.3x and even P/S higher than 8x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002881 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

What Does MeiG Smart Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

MeiG Smart Technology could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on MeiG Smart Technology.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For MeiG Smart Technology?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like MeiG Smart Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 16%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 107% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 54% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 50% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that MeiG Smart Technology's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does MeiG Smart Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

MeiG Smart Technology's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've seen that MeiG Smart Technology currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. Perhaps investors are concerned that the company could underperform against the forecasts over the near term.

Having said that, be aware MeiG Smart Technology is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those is potentially serious.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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