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Even After Rising 34% This Past Week, Revance Therapeutics (NASDAQ:RVNC) Shareholders Are Still Down 77% Over the Past Year

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 1 07:45

Revance Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:RVNC) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 34% in the last week. But that is meagre solace when you consider how the price has plummeted over the last year. Indeed, the share price is down a whopping 77% in the last year. Arguably, the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Only time will tell if the company can sustain the turnaround.

While the stock has risen 34% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.

Because Revance Therapeutics made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.

In the last year Revance Therapeutics saw its revenue grow by 77%. That's a strong result which is better than most other loss making companies. So on the face of it we're really surprised to see the share price down 77% over twelve months. There's clearly something unusual going on here such as an acquisition that hasn't delivered expected profits. We'd recommend taking a very close look at the stock (and any available forecasts), before considering a purchase, because the share price is not correlated with the revenue growth, that's for sure. Of course, investors do over-react when they are stressed out, so the sell-off could be unjustifiably severe.

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:RVNC Earnings and Revenue Growth March 1st 2024

Revance Therapeutics is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling Revance Therapeutics stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.

A Different Perspective

Investors in Revance Therapeutics had a tough year, with a total loss of 77%, against a market gain of about 27%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Revance Therapeutics (1 is significant) that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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