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Improved Revenues Required Before JanOne Inc. (NASDAQ:JAN) Stock's 107% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 29 07:19

Despite an already strong run, JanOne Inc. (NASDAQ:JAN) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 107% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 34% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may still consider JanOne as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.1x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:JAN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 29th 2024

What Does JanOne's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

JanOne certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on JanOne's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is JanOne's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like JanOne's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. Revenue has also lifted 9.6% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the incredible last 12 months of growth. So while the recent revenue growth has been good for the company, we do note that it does tend to experience some large revenue swings, particularly over the last 12 months.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 8.6% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why JanOne's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift JanOne's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

In line with expectations, JanOne maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 5 warning signs for JanOne (3 can't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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