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SkyWater Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:SKYT) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 29%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 29 05:37

SkyWater Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:SKYT) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 5.3% over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, SkyWater Technology may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.9x and even P/S higher than 10x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:SKYT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 29th 2024

How SkyWater Technology Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, SkyWater Technology has been relatively sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on SkyWater Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as SkyWater Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 35%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 104% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 12% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 42% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why SkyWater Technology is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does SkyWater Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift SkyWater Technology's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of SkyWater Technology's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - SkyWater Technology has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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