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PENN Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:PENN) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 29%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 27 07:46

The PENN Entertainment, Inc. (NASDAQ:PENN) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 46% share price drop.

After such a large drop in price, it would be understandable if you think PENN Entertainment is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.4x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Hospitality industry have P/S ratios above 1.3x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqGS:PENN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 27th 2024

How PENN Entertainment Has Been Performing

PENN Entertainment hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think PENN Entertainment's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, PENN Entertainment would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 78% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders will be pleased, but also have some questions to ponder about the last 12 months.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.3% per year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why PENN Entertainment is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

PENN Entertainment's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Hospitality companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of PENN Entertainment's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for PENN Entertainment you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on PENN Entertainment, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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