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Is Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics (SZSE:002119) A Risky Investment?

Is Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics (SZSE:002119) A Risky Investment?

寧波康強電子(深圳證券交易所:002119)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/22 21:47

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics Co., Ltd (SZSE:002119) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍華德·馬克斯說得好,他說的不是擔心股價的波動,而是 “永久損失的可能性是我擔心的風險... 也是我認識的每位實際投資者所擔心的風險。”當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。我們注意到,寧波康強電子有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002119)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸方,那麼債務就任其擺佈。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。但是,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,這樣才能控制債務。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面後果。當我們考慮公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。

What Is Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics's Debt?

寧波康強電子的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2023 Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics had CN¥677.5m of debt, an increase on CN¥439.7m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥188.0m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥489.5m.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2023年9月,寧波康強電子在一年內有6.775億元人民幣的債務,比4.397億元人民幣的債務有所增加。但是,由於其現金儲備爲1.88億元人民幣,其淨負債較少,約爲4.895億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002119 Debt to Equity History February 23rd 2024
SZSE: 002119 債券與股本的比率記錄 2024 年 2 月 23 日

How Strong Is Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics' Balance Sheet?

寧波康強電子的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics had liabilities of CN¥951.4m due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥102.9m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥188.0m and CN¥519.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥347.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

放大最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,寧波康強電子的負債爲9.514億元人民幣,12個月內到期的負債爲1.029億元人民幣。另一方面,它有一年內到期的1.88億元現金和價值5.194億元人民幣的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出3.470億元人民幣。

Of course, Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics has a market capitalization of CN¥3.95b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

當然,寧波康強電子的市值爲39.5億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。但是,我們確實認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲它可能會隨着時間的推移而發生變化。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。因此,我們將債務與收益的關係考慮在內,包括和不包括折舊和攤銷費用。

Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics's net debt is 4.0 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 15.4 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Shareholders should be aware that Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics's EBIT was down 78% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

寧波康強電子的淨負債是其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的4.0倍,這是一個可觀但仍然合理的槓桿率。但是,其15.4的利息覆蓋率非常高,這表明債務的利息支出目前相當低。股東應該意識到,寧波康強電子的息稅前利潤去年下降了78%。如果這種盈利趨勢繼續下去,那麼償還債務就像放貓坐過山車一樣容易。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲寧波康強電子需要收益來償還債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得一看收益趨勢。單擊此處查看交互式快照。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 96% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,合乎邏輯的步驟是研究息稅前利潤與實際自由現金流相匹配的比例。在過去三年中,寧波康強電子錄得的自由現金流相當於其息稅前利潤的96%,比我們通常預期的要強。這使其在償還債務方面處於非常有利的地位。

Our View

我們的觀點

Based on what we've seen Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Considering this range of data points, we think Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Ningbo Kangqiang Electronics you should be aware of.

根據我們所見,考慮到寧波康強電子的息稅前利潤增長率,這並不容易,但我們考慮的其他因素使我們有理由感到樂觀。特別是,它的興趣封面令我們眼花繚亂。考慮到這一系列數據點,我們認爲寧波康強電子完全有能力管理其債務水平。話雖如此,負擔足夠沉重,我們建議所有股東密切關注。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了寧波康強電子的兩個警告標誌,你應該注意了。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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