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Mersana Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:MRSN) Shares Bounce 31% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 22 14:39

Mersana Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRSN) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 31% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 36% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, Mersana Therapeutics may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10.9x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 14.2x and even P/S higher than 65x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqGS:MRSN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 22nd 2024

How Has Mersana Therapeutics Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Mersana Therapeutics as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Mersana Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Mersana Therapeutics?

Mersana Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 243%. The latest three year period has also seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, aided by its incredible short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 19% each year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 269% growth per annum, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Mersana Therapeutics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Mersana Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Investors?

Despite Mersana Therapeutics' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

It's clear to see that Mersana Therapeutics maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Mersana Therapeutics, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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