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Byrna Technologies Inc.'s (NASDAQ:BYRN) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 79% Share Price Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 22 06:05

Byrna Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:BYRN) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 79% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 40% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Byrna Technologies is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.9x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Aerospace & Defense industry have P/S ratios below 1.9x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:BYRN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 22nd 2024

How Has Byrna Technologies Performed Recently?

Byrna Technologies hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Byrna Technologies.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Byrna Technologies would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 157% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per year as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 7.6% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we can see why Byrna Technologies is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What Does Byrna Technologies' P/S Mean For Investors?

The strong share price surge has lead to Byrna Technologies' P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look into Byrna Technologies shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Byrna Technologies that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Byrna Technologies' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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