share_log

Yuexiu Property Company Limited's (HKG:123) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 30%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 21 17:37

Yuexiu Property Company Limited (HKG:123) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the last month did very little to improve the 54% share price decline over the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 9x, you may still consider Yuexiu Property as an attractive investment with its 4.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Yuexiu Property has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:123 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Yuexiu Property will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Growth For Yuexiu Property?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Yuexiu Property would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 40% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 5.7% drop in EPS in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 2.3% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 16% growth each year, that's a disappointing outcome.

In light of this, it's understandable that Yuexiu Property's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Final Word

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Yuexiu Property's P/E close to the market median. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Yuexiu Property maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Yuexiu Property has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment