If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. Although, when we looked at Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd (SHSE:603379), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. To calculate this metric for Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.023 = CN¥132m ÷ (CN¥6.6b - CN¥701m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Thus, Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd has an ROCE of 2.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Chemicals industry average of 5.7%.
In the above chart we have measured Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd for free.
The Trend Of ROCE
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 2.3% from 57% five years ago. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. This could mean that the business is losing its competitive advantage or market share, because while more money is being put into ventures, it's actually producing a lower return - "less bang for their buck" per se.
On a related note, Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd has decreased its current liabilities to 11% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.
The Key Takeaway
From the above analysis, we find it rather worrisome that returns on capital and sales for Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd have fallen, meanwhile the business is employing more capital than it was five years ago. Yet despite these poor fundamentals, the stock has gained a huge 146% over the last three years, so investors appear very optimistic. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
One more thing: We've identified 2 warning signs with Zhejiang Sanmei Chemical IndustryLtd (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them would certainly be useful.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.