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Productive Technologies Company Limited's (HKG:650) 26% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 20 17:04

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Productive Technologies Company Limited (HKG:650) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 68% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Semiconductor industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.3x, you may still consider Productive Technologies as a stock not worth researching with its 5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:650 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 20th 2024

What Does Productive Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Productive Technologies' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Productive Technologies' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Productive Technologies?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Productive Technologies' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.9%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 135% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 8.1% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why Productive Technologies' P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.

The Bottom Line On Productive Technologies' P/S

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Productive Technologies' very lofty P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Productive Technologies maintains its high P/S on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider industry forecast, as expected. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Productive Technologies has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Productive Technologies' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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