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Take Care Before Jumping Onto Upexi, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPXI) Even Though It's 32% Cheaper

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 18 07:48

Upexi, Inc. (NASDAQ:UPXI) shares have had a horrible month, losing 32% after a relatively good period beforehand. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 82% share price decline.

After such a large drop in price, Upexi may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Personal Products industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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NasdaqCM:UPXI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 18th 2024

What Does Upexi's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times haven't been great for Upexi as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Upexi will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Upexi's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 76% gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 6.6% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 8.1% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that Upexi is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From Upexi's P/S?

Upexi's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Personal Products companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It looks to us like the P/S figures for Upexi remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. Despite average revenue growth estimates, there could be some unobserved threats keeping the P/S low. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Upexi (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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