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Youdao, Inc. (NYSE:DAO) Soars 36% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 18 07:28

Youdao, Inc. (NYSE:DAO) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 36% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 46% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, when close to half the companies operating in the United States' Consumer Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.5x, you may still consider Youdao as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:DAO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 18th 2024

How Has Youdao Performed Recently?

Youdao could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Youdao.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Youdao's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 16%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 117% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 13% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15%, which is not materially different.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Youdao's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Youdao's P/S?

Despite Youdao's share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've seen that Youdao currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecast growth is in line with the wider industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Youdao (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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