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Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) Held Back By Insufficient Growth Even After Shares Climb 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 16 08:37

Porch Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:PRCH) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Porch Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 4.4x and even P/S higher than 12x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:PRCH Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2024

How Has Porch Group Performed Recently?

Recent times have been advantageous for Porch Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Porch Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Porch Group?

Porch Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 44%. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 7.1% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 15%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Porch Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Porch Group's P/S?

Shares in Porch Group have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As expected, our analysis of Porch Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Porch Group (including 1 which can't be ignored).

If you're unsure about the strength of Porch Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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