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Improved Revenues Required Before Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:BW) Stock's 25% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 16 05:02

Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises, Inc. (NYSE:BW) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 25% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 79% share price drop in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Electrical industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:BW Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 16th 2024

How Has Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises.

How Is Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 76% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 5.1% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 16%.

With this information, we are not surprised that Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises' P/S?

Despite Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It's clear to see that Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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