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Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600824) 28% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 14 17:16

Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600824) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 10% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Multiline Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may still consider Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group as a stock to potentially avoid with its 3.2x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600824 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 14th 2024

What Does Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 38% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen the company endure a nasty 4.0% drop in revenue in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group's P/S

Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Yimin Commercial Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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