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Tongdao Liepin Group (HKG:6100) Shares May Have Slumped 27% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 14 17:09

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Tongdao Liepin Group (HKG:6100) share price has dived 27% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 71% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Tongdao Liepin Group's P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Interactive Media and Services industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:6100 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 14th 2024

How Tongdao Liepin Group Has Been Performing

Tongdao Liepin Group could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Tongdao Liepin Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Tongdao Liepin Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 36% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 8.6% during the coming year according to the seven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 11%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Tongdao Liepin Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Tongdao Liepin Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Tongdao Liepin Group's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Tongdao Liepin Group's revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Tongdao Liepin Group that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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