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Nvidia's Rally At Risk? Short Seller Jim Chanos Says 'That's Bad ... If True' After Analyst Spots Potential Red Flag

Nvidia's Rally At Risk? Short Seller Jim Chanos Says 'That's Bad ... If True' After Analyst Spots Potential Red Flag

英偉達的反彈處於危險之中?賣空者吉姆·查諾斯說:“那太糟糕了...分析師發現潛在危險信號後 “如果屬實”
Benzinga ·  02/14 06:43

$NVIDIA (NVDA.US)$ has enjoyed a triumphant rise in 2024, securing the fifth-highest valuation for a publicly listed company globally. However, as its stock price continues its seemingly unstoppable climb, concerns flicker amidst the optimism.

$英偉達 (NVDA.US)$ 在2024年取得了勝利的增長,確保了全球上市公司的第五高估值。但是,隨着其股價繼續保持看似不可阻擋的攀升,人們的擔憂在樂觀情緒中閃現。

What Happened: At the heart of the debate lies an observation made by UBS analyst Timothy Arcuri.

發生了什麼:辯論的核心是瑞銀分析師蒂莫西·阿庫裏的觀察。

After checking with customers, Arcuri reported a decrease in lead times for Nvidia's chips, indicating available shipment slots in the latter half of 2024.

在與客戶覈對後,Arcuri報告說,Nvidia芯片的交貨時間有所縮短,這表明2024年下半年有可用出貨量。

Arcuri interpreted this as "upside potential for shipments and revenue" even after saying "Normally, this is bad." Shortened lead times traditionally paint a less rosy picture, often suggesting waning demand.

儘管阿庫裏說 “通常,這很糟糕”,但仍將其解釋爲 “出貨量和收入的上行潛力”。傳統上,縮短交貨時間描繪的畫面不那麼樂觀,這通常表明需求減弱。

This interpretation sparked a stir online, drawing a blunt "No, that's bad...if true," from none other than Jim Chanos, renowned for his successful short bets on companies like Enron and Tesla.

這種解釋在網上引起了轟動,他直言不諱地說 “不,那很糟糕... 如果是真的”,他以成功空頭押注安然和特斯拉等公司而聞名。

Mizuho Securities analyst Vijay Rakesh shared Arcuri's findings, confirming shorter lead times for Nvidia's flagship H100 AI accelerator chips. However, he emphasized the continued tightness of supply and robust demand.

瑞穗證券分析師維傑·拉克什分享了Arcuri的調查結果,證實了英偉達旗艦H100人工智能加速器芯片的交貨時間縮短。但是,他強調供應持續緊張和需求強勁。

No, that's bad...if true. $NVDA

— Diogenes (@WallStCynic) February 14, 2024

不,那很糟糕... 如果是真的。$NVDA

— 第歐根尼 (@WallStCynic) 2024 年 2 月 14 日

Why It's Important The concern stems from Nvidia's strategic position as a flagbearer for the burgeoning AI revolution. The company's deep integration with this hot-button technology has fueled significant growth in recent quarters. However, several potential risks bubble beneath the surface.

爲何如此重要這種擔憂源於Nvidia作爲新興人工智能革命旗手的戰略地位。該公司與這項熱鍵技術的深度整合推動了最近幾個季度的顯著增長。但是,一些潛在的風險浮出水面。

Following the third-quarter earnings release, social media chatter focused on the emergence of Singapore as one of Nvidia's largest customers, raising concerns about over-reliance on a single market.

在第三季度業績發佈之後,社交媒體的熱議聚焦於新加坡成爲英偉達最大的客戶之一,這引發了人們對過度依賴單一市場的擔憂。

Analysts acknowledge the possibility of the AI bubble bursting within the next three to five years. While they remain confident in AI's long-term benefits for productivity and economic growth, the possibility of a short-term correction casts a shadow.

分析師承認,人工智能泡沫有可能在未來三到五年內破裂。儘管他們對人工智能對生產率和經濟增長的長期好處仍然充滿信心,但短期調整的可能性蒙上了陰影。

While Nvidia currently enjoys a near-monopoly position, competition from peers like $Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.US)$ and the rise of in-house AI development by customers could chip away at its dominance.

儘管英偉達目前處於近乎壟斷的地位,但來自同行的競爭 $美國超微公司 (AMD.US)$ 而客戶內部人工智能開發的興起可能會削弱其主導地位。

Despite these concerns, counterpoints remain. Analysts generally hold faith in the long-term impact of AI on boosting productivity and fostering sustainable economic growth. Moreover, Nvidia's early-mover advantage in AI technology and its comprehensive software stack provide a significant competitive edge.

儘管有這些擔憂,但對立面仍然存在。分析師普遍相信人工智能對提高生產力和促進可持續經濟增長的長期影響。此外,Nvidia在人工智能技術方面的先行優勢及其全面的軟件堆棧提供了顯著的競爭優勢。

Further clarity on Nvidia's short- and mid-term outlook will emerge on Feb. 21 when the company releases its quarterly earnings report.

英偉達將在2月21日發佈季度收益報告時進一步明確其短期和中期前景。

In premarket trading on Wednesday, Nvidia's stock climbed 1.68% to $733.38, according to Benzinga Pro data.

根據Benzinga Pro的數據,在週三的盤前交易中,英偉達的股票上漲了1.68%,至733.38美元。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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