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What Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600827) P/S Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 13 17:57

It's not a stretch to say that Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600827) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Consumer Retailing industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600827 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 13th 2024

What Does Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Bailian (Group) will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.6%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 22% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 8.6% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 16% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s P/S

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

When you consider that Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Shanghai Bailian (Group) (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Bailian (Group), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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