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Shenzhen Senior Technology Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300568) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 7 17:09

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's (SZSE:300568) recent performance, when its stock has declined 22% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shenzhen Senior Technology Material is:

8.9% = CN¥821m ÷ CN¥9.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.09 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's Earnings Growth And 8.9% ROE

On the face of it, Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's ROE is not much to talk about. However, the fact that the company's ROE is higher than the average industry ROE of 6.9%, is definitely interesting. Even more so after seeing Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's exceptional 40% net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 12% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300568 Past Earnings Growth February 7th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shenzhen Senior Technology Material is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shenzhen Senior Technology Material Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 17%, which is quite low. This implies that the company is retaining 83% of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Additionally, Shenzhen Senior Technology Material has paid dividends over a period of seven years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 17%. However, Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's ROE is predicted to rise to 14% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Shenzhen Senior Technology Material's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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